Effect on household survey employment from
population control adjustments, 2000-07
(In thousands)
--------------------
January 2000 +1,555
January 2003 +576
January 2004 -409
January 2005 -45
January 2006 -123
January 2007 +153
Page 11 of the trends report states that there was likewise an adjustment in January 2008 which would have changed the reported employed in December of 2007 from the reported 146,334 thousand to 145,736 thousand, a decrease of 598 thousand. I'm not clear why the 146,334 does not quite match the figure on the latest Household Survey (I assume that it was revised) or why there is not a more discernible drop in the data. Still, it is likely better not to compare Household Survey employment numbers over a span that includes an adjustment. The trends report does include tables of smoothed and adjusted Household Survey data. This data can be useful as a check of the Payroll Survey data. Still, to compare employment data over time spans, it is likely best to use the Payroll Survey, both for its smaller sampling error and for the lack of the adjustment problem.
No comments:
Post a Comment